Written for The Diplomat
The results of the recently concluded midterm national and local elections reflected the increasing polarization in Philippine politics.
This was evident in the Senate, where no single party or bloc dominated the competition. The coalition led by President Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. and the camp of Vice President Sara Duterte won five candidates each, while two independent candidates succeeded in getting into the top 12 winning threshold. The latter are returning senators known for their critical views during the administration of former President Rodrigo Duterte.
Duterte’s presidential bid in 2028 depends largely on her success in surviving the impeachment. But what the midterm election results showed was the sudden emergence of an alternative to the feuding Marcos and Duterte clans. Duterte may be the frontrunner now but the recent elections highlighted her family’s eroded influence across the country and the rise of young voters clamoring for change.
What to Expect in Philippine Politics in 2025
Written for The Diplomat
Public scrutiny over the misuse of government funds, the squabble between the Marcos and Duterte clans and their allies, and the local and senatorial midterm elections are expected to dominate Philippine politics this year.
The year 2024 saw the split of the Marcos-Duterte alliance and the rift will definitely extend during this year’s election. But as politicians squabble for hegemony, they may fail to address rising discontent and the people could render a decisive protest vote against the Marcoses, the Dutertes, and their parties.